CME Scoreboard
Prediction for CME (2014-06-25T12:54:00-CME-001)
CME Observed Time: 2014-06-25T12:54ZiSWAS Layout URL: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/5868/-1
CME Note: Source region seen in AIA 193. Large filament like eruption stretching from disk center towards NE limb starting around 2014-06-25T08:45Z [-DK] CME arrival could be 2014-06-29T18:00Z or it could be the arrival of the later CME which started at the Sun around 2014-06-26T01:25Z.
CME Shock Arrival Time: 2014-06-29T18:00Z
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
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Predicted Arrival Time: 2014-06-28T14:00Z (-7.0h, +7.0h)
Confidence that the CME will arrive: 20.0%
Predicted geomagnetic storm max Kp range due to CME: 2.0 - 4.0
Prediction Method: WSA-ENLIL + Cone (GSFC SWRC)
Prediction Method Note:
NASA GSFC SWRC ENLIL settings: ENLIL version: 2.7 Resolution: low2 (256x30x90) Ambient settings: a3b1f WSA version: 2.2 (Enlil 2.7 w/res:low2 ambient:a3b1f, WSA2.2) Simulation and input parameters: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/WSA-ENLIL/5873/1Lead Time: 75.75 hour(s)
Difference: 28.00 hour(s)
Prediction submitted by Leila Mays (GSFC) on 2014-06-26T14:15Z
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